FXUS63 KLBF 240922 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 422 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Fog is expected both tonight and Saturday night, especially across central and southwest Nebraska. Dense fog is possible. - Scattered showers are expected Sunday night through Monday night as a cold front crosses the area. - Cooler temperatures with gusty northwest winds can then be expected Tuesday and Wednesday behind the front. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Upper level low pressure will move eastward from Colorado and cross the southern plains today into tonight. This will spread a veil of mid and high level cloudiness across portions of southwest into central Nebraska. The clouds will have an impact on temperatures, with highs topping out in the upper 50s across the cloudier areas of central and southwest Nebraska. Full sunshine is expected across northern and western parts of the area, with highs reaching the mid and possibly upper 60s in these areas. Winds today will be light as they gradually shift to the south-southeast as leeward troughing begins to develop across the western high plains. The south to southeast low-level flow will help to draw moisture/humidity northward into the area. This will lead to the development of patchy to areas of fog across central into southwest Nebraska later tonight and lasting into Saturday morning. Will have to monitor for the potential for dense fog, with short-term model guidance suggesting visibility could drop below 1/4 of a mile. Low cloudiness will likely linger through much of the day Saturday, especially along and southeast of an O'Neill to North Platte line. Again this will impact highs, with cloudy areas struggling into the upper 50s. Meanwhile, northwest Nebraska, will again see near full sunshine and highs reaching the lower 70s. As low-level moisture/humidity continues to increase, fog will once again develop Saturday night especially across central and southwest Nebraska. Again dense - Fog potential Friday night into Saturday A mainly cloudy day is expected across most of the area Sunday after the morning fog. Surface low pressure will deepen though the day across South Dakota, as a broad upper trough approaches the central and northern plains from the west. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 The system slated for Sunday night into early next week continues to look less impressive. A broad upper trough will sweep from the northern Rockies and cross the central and northern plains Sunday night through Monday night. Low-level moisture will be in place with surface dew points in the upper 40s ahead of a cold front that will be moving into western Nebraska by Monday morning. At least scattered showers are still expected Sunday night through Monday night. Broad scale lift increases as jet dynamics associated with the upper trough pivot eastward across the area. As mentioned a cold front will move into western Nebraska Monday morning. This front will then sweep eastward across the area Monday night. Cooler conditions with highs in the upper 40s and 50s can be expected behind the front both Tuesday and Wednesday. Gusty northwest winds can also be expected both days. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1248 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 VFR conditions likely continue through the bulk of the forecast period. Low stratus has moved north into central Nebraska. This has largely remained east of LBF and while some impacts could be seen, expecting ceilings to be at or above 3.5kft AGL. Expect improving conditions for the daytime though some diurnal cumulus is possible. Will have to monitor potential for fog late Friday night. For now, greatest impacts appear likely to occur just beyond the end of the valid period. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Taylor LONG TERM...Taylor AVIATION...NMJ