FXUS63 KLBF 191723

AFDLBF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service North Platte NE

1223 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Warm and dry conditions are expected to prevail through

  Thursday. 



- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase Thursday night into

  Friday with the arrival of a cold front. 



- Cooler and perhaps showery weather are expected for the 

  weekend as Canadian high pressure settles southward into the 

  region.



&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Issued at 345 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025



Upper level ridging/rising heights build across the Rockies and 

plains today through Thursday. This will bring an end to 

precipitation chances for a few days. The next chance for rainfall 

will come Thursday night. It will continue to be on the warm and 

rather humid side through Thursday as well.



At the surface, high pressure will drift eastward across the area 

today. Light and variable winds this morning will gradually shift 

around to the southeast this afternoon...as the center of the high 

moves toward the Missouri River Valley region. With the light winds 

and residual low-level moisture across the area, patchy to areas of 

fog are expected across portions of eastern north central and into 

central Nebraska this morning. These areas are to the east of a weak 

stationary front, and dew points are running in the upper 60s to 

lower 70s to the east of the front. West of the front the air is a 

bit drier, with dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Although 

there could be a little patchy fog in low lying areas to the west of 

the front, the more widespread fog potential will reside east of the 

boundary in the above mentioned areas.   



Wednesday, surface high pressure will remain anchored east of the 

area. Southeast low-level flow will continue across the area. 

Attention turns to fire weather, as dew points mix out across the 

Panhandle into the upper 40s to around 50. This will allow humidity 

values to fall to around 23 to 33%. The limiting factor for more of 

a concern will be the lack of winds, as speeds will remain generally 

in the 10-15 mph range. Thursday is more of the same, with humidity 

falling to around 25% but winds remaining on the lighter side.



&&



.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

Issued at 345 AM 

CDT Tue Aug 19 2025



A strong shortwave crosses southern Canada Thursday night into 

Friday, with a cold front will be driven southward into the 

area. A somewhat cooler day with highs in the 80s are expected 

Friday. Cooler yet as we head into the weekend as surface high

pressure from Canada settles into the area Sunday into Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible with the arrival of the

front Thursday night. As the front lingers across the area

Friday, additional chances for rainfall will exist. The front 

then settles farther to the south Saturday into the first of 

next week. Rather cool and potentially showery weather 

(especially across southwest Nebraska) will exist during this 

time. As the high settles into the area from Canada, it appears 

highs may struggle into the lower 70s across parts of the area

Monday.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 1223 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025



VFR conditions will prevail across the region through Wednesday 

morning. Clear to mostly clear skies/ceilings are expected with 

winds below 10 knots. 



&&



.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Taylor

LONG TERM...Taylor

AVIATION...Kulik