FXUS63 KIWX 191706

AFDIWX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Northern Indiana

106 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Chances for precipitation will be rather limited through the

  period.  



- Generally above normal temperatures through the next 7 days,

  with the coolest day being Monday with highs closer to normal

  (mid 40s).



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 201 AM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Precipitation Chances...



Area of light showers extends NW to SE from central WI into SW

Lower MI with our far NE portions of the forecast area to be

clipped over the next several hours. Models have backed off

considerably compared to 24 hours ago and also reside further

NE, resulting in disappointing chances for measureable precip.

Pops were trimmed across the south earlier and may need further

lowering in the NE, but for now have maintained slgt chc to chc

pops in these areas. Air temps are above freezing, but some wet

bulbing may occur to send temps closer to freezing for a brief

period, warranting leaving a mention of freezing precip in. Not

overly concerned about travel issues with this, but will monitor

as we draw closer to the morning commute. Yet another 

disturbance drops southeast, with the sfc low tracking well NE 

of the area. Slgt chc to chc pops remain in NE areas, but could 

very well be overdone and trimmed in subsequent forecasts. 



Dry weather is in store for Saturday and again starting Monday

with a cold front set to pass though Sunday. The best moisture

will remain well south of the region with dewpoints struggling

to reach the lower 50s. Some slgt chc to chc pops remain in the

model blends, but anticipate either maintenance of these or

possible lowering with time. The upcoming work week looks

generally dry, with medium range models hinting as maybe some

weak system to bring limited chances for showers. By the end of

the week, a much more dynamic pattern sets up that may bring

better chances. 



Temperatures...



Through the next 7 days, temperatures should generally be above

to well above normal (normal highs in the mid to upper 40s) with

the warmest days being Friday and Sunday when 70s return. A drop

back to seasonable (40s) temperatures occurs for Monday in the

wake of the cold front, but this is short lived with moderation

into the upcoming week.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...

Issued at 103 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026



VFR conditions expected through this TAF period. Winds will

become more southwesterly after 13z Friday and increase with

gusts around 20-25 kts.



&&



.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IN...None.

OH...None.

MI...None.

MARINE...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Fisher

AVIATION...Andersen