FXUS63 KICT 251132 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 632 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and isolated thunderstorms through Sunday morning, with returning chances Monday and Tuesday. - Seasonably cool afternoon temperatures over the next seven days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 247 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025 Currently, the upper-level trough remains centered over the Southern Rockies with the corresponding surface low situated over the western Southern Plains. The surface boundary extends across the Red River Valley. The rain shield so far tonight has remained primarily to our south, but as the low and associated warm front begins to lift north, rain will begin to overspread the area between 10-12Z. Anomalously high PWATs between 1-1.25 inch across the forecast area will allow for some locations to see locally heavy rainfall with this activity. Through the rest of today, the upper-level trough and surface low will continue to scoot eastward resulting in the vort max being situated overhead through the evening hours. This will lead to a deformation band of persistent light to moderate rain showers across much of the region through 00Z. Due to the location of the surface low along the OK/TX border, instability across the forecast area today will be negligible, resulting in minimal thunder activity. By Sunday, the system will begin to quickly lift off to the northeast bringing our rain chances to an end from west to east. Another trough will eject into the Northern Plains on Sunday night/Monday morning. This will sweep a cold front across the state on Monday bringing additional rain and isolated thunderstorm chances to the area throughout the day. Instability with this system looks minimal, so currently thinking most activity will remain showery. As a lobe of the upper-level trough separates from the main feature, it will dive across the Mississippi Valley through mid week. Because of this lingering piece of energy, a few spotty showers will impact across eastern Kansas into Wednesday. Behind this system, drier and mild weather is forecast. Temperatures throughout the upcoming week will remain seasonably cool with afternoon highs reaching into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Overnight lows through Monday night will fall into the 40s to lower 50s. With the passage of the frontal boundary on Monday, overnight lows for Tuesday night through the end of the week will dip into 30s and lower 40s. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 622 AM CDT Sat Oct 25 2025 A shield of rain is overspreading Kansas which will lead to reduced visibility and low ceilings throughout the forecast period. Light rain showers will lead to occasional MVFR vis through 00Z, at which point rain will become more isolated in nature as it dissipates and moves east out of the area. IFR to LIFR cigs will impact nearly all locations through the TAF period with the exception of CNU where they will lift to MVFR levels for the afternoon time period. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AMD AVIATION...AMD