FXUS63 KICT 071801

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

101 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



...Updated Aviation Discussion...



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Breezy southerly winds Tuesday followed by breezy northerly winds 

  Wed-Thu.



- Mild and dry with warm and windy conditions expected next 

  weekend.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 143 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



A shortwave trough digging over the Great Lakes area will drive a 

subtle frontal boundary southward into eastern Kansas this afternoon 

and early evening. This front is expected to have a minimal impact 

on sensible weather across our forecast area with the better low 

level cold air advection progged to remain across northeast Kansas 

while we still anticipate rising heights/increasing thickness 

supporting moderating temperatures over the area this afternoon with 

seasonable highs in the 60s. Any brief intrusion of cooler air is 

expected to be short-lived with some low level warm air advection 

progged to develop as we move through the overnight hours.



Tue-Wed...Breezy southerly winds will return to the region on Tue 

with support for moderating temperatures once again. Above average 

temperatures are expected with highs ranging from near 70 in far 

southeast KS to the upper 70s in central KS. Another subtle 

shortwave trough moving across the Northern Plains will drive a 

frontal boundary southward over the area on Wed. Above average 

temperatures will still prevail with highs in the mid 70s.



Thu...another progressive clipper system will send a reinforcing 

shot of cooler air south over the area on Thursday but confidence in 

wetting rain remains low at this time. Highs will remain mild with 

breezy northwest winds and anticipated highs in the low 70s.



Fri-Sun...Another pleasant day is expected on Friday as the 

mid/upper ridge begins to amplify over the Rockies. Southerly flow 

is progged to return from west to east with seasonably mild highs in 

the low 70s. A warming trend will follow with highs climbing into 

the 80s over the weekend. Breezy southerly winds will prevail with 

dry weather conditions expected.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...

Issued at 1256 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



VFR conditions will prevail for most the next 24 hours. The only

caveat is RSL, where visibilities and/or ceilings will be

reduced in smoke periodically this afternoon due to a 

prescribed burn north-northeast of the airport. Otherwise,

modest to breezy northwest to northeast winds will prevail this

afternoon, switching to southeasterly tonight, and becoming

breezy/gusty by mid-late morning Tuesday.



&&



.FIRE WEATHER...

Issued at 143 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



A very high grassland fire danger is expected over central Kansas 

on Tuesday afternoon as breezy southerly winds return to the area.

 

Breezy northwest winds will develop on Thursday in the wake of a 

cold front. Above normal temperatures combined with minimum relative 

humidity around 20 percent will result in a very high grassland fire 

danger over central Kansas.



Warm and windy conditions will develop this weekend leading to a 

very high fire danger, especially on Sunday across much of the

area.



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...MWM

AVIATION...ADK

FIRE WEATHER...MWM