FXUS63 KICT 062339

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

639 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Cool tonight with lows near freezing. A Freeze Warning has

  been issued through Monday morning.



- Mild and dry weather anticipated to last through this week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025



Water vapor imagery this afternoon indicates strong mid/upper flow 

spanning from ArkLaTex toward the Great Lakes as weak winds aloft 

settle in over the Central Plains. At the surface, high pressure has 

built in over Kansas and driven periods of breezy north winds 

over the forecast area so far today. These are expected to 

weaken through the remainder of the day before becoming light 

and variable overnight. With little to no cloud coverage 

anticipated alongside these light winds, radiational cooling is 

expected to result in temperatures near to below freezing 

tonight. As such, a Freeze Warning has been issued for the 

entire forecast area through Monday morning. Highs Monday 

afternoon are expected to reach the mid 60s areawide.



As the upper ridge slides eastward, dry and warming conditions are 

expected with highs near 70 by Tuesday. A mid-level shortwave 

racing over the Northern Plains will bring a cold front through 

the area Wednesday. Current mid-range model consensus keeps 

precipitation chances to our east, so this boundary will primarily

serve to bring temperatures down slightly on Thursday (low 70s)

before they rebound back into the middle to upper 70s to close 

out the week.



&&



.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...

Issued at 627 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025



Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side for the

next 24 hours. 



Another upper impulse is expected to sink south across the

Western Great Lakes region and will allow another surge of

cooler air to spill south. So currently looking for a brief

period of southwest/west winds on Monday, before flipping back

around to the north and northeast by the late afternoon hours.

Confidence remains high in VFR conditions remaining in place

through this TAF period. 



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Monday for KSZ032-033-

047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...JWK

AVIATION...RBL