FXUS63 KICT 060539

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

1239 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Rain transitioning into a rain/snow mix later this evening

  through Sunday morning. Little to no accumulation is expected.



- Cool through Sunday, then a warming trend next week.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025



Water vapor imagery this afternoon indicates an upper jet max 

spanning from the Central Plains into the Great Lakes Region as a 

wave begins to lift out of the Southern Rockies. At the surface, a 

cold front spans from southern Texas toward Lake Eerie while stout 

northerly winds persist over the forecast area. These are expected 

to continue through the remainder of this afternoon before weakening 

overnight and remaining relatively calm to close out the weekend.



The aforementioned wave will eject out of the Southern Rockies later 

this afternoon and evening, bringing forcing for additional chances 

for precipitation to south central and southeast Kansas. Short-term 

model thicknesses and temperature profiles continue to support rain 

transitioning into a rain/snow mix (and then potentially snow) after 

sundown and lasting into Sunday morning, especially in areas along 

and south of I-35. Little to no snow accumulation continues to be 

expected given exceptionally dry air below 800 mb, though a light 

dusting can't be ruled out across areas in southeast Kansas. 

Overnight lows through Sunday morning will dip into the middle 20s 

in central Kansas and range from the low to middle 30s across south 

central and southeast Kansas. High temperatures Sunday afternoon are 

expected to reach the 50s areawide.



Dry conditions are expected to resume as strong zonal/northwesterly 

flow aloft begins to settle in over the region. After a chilly 

morning on Monday with low temperatures near 30, a warming trend is 

expected to ensue, with highs in the 60s by Monday and then 70s

by Tuesday.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...

Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025



VFR prevails across the forecast area but mid clouds in the 

7-10k ft range linger over south central and southeast Kansas. 

Very dry air centered around 2km agl may preclude any sprinkles 

or flurries with only mid clouds through early Sunday with 

clearing from west to east as we move through the day. Light 

north to northeast winds will prevail through the period.



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...JWK

AVIATION...MWM