FXUS63 KICT 050807

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

307 AM CDT Tue May 5 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Much cooler temperatures for today and Wednesday with a return

  to seasonal temps for Thursday. Many areas for today and 

  Wednesday will not see highs make it out of the 50s.



- Above normal readings for Friday and Saturday with storm

  chances returning for Saturday night. 



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 306 AM CDT Tue May 5 2026



Currently have a deep broad upper trough encompassing all of 

the Northern Plains into the Western Great Lakes region with the

upper low centered over eastern Ontario. Meanwhile, a closed 

upper low is also situated over central CA. At the surface 

strong cold front stretches from near KCNU into western OK. 



Storms have been developing over the last few hours across the

Flint Hills in an area of strong 700mb theta-e advection north

of the cold front. Storms will continue to push east this

morning as the better mid level warm advection also shifts 

east. Cold front will be through the forecast area by sunrise 

with plenty of clouds and much cooler temps moving into the 

area. We also should continue to see some pockets of light rain 

throughout the day as the upper trough continues to dig across 

the Central Rockies. The western CONUS upper low will continue 

tracking over the Four Corners region and will phase with the 

northern stream trough late tonight with the trough finally 

swinging through KS by early Thu morning. So we are currently 

expecting the best chances for rain over western and parts of 

central KS for tonight into Wed with rain chances sinking south 

for Wed night. Rainfall amounts will generally be on the light 

side with higher amounts over western KS. 



Confidence remain very high that temps today and Wed will be

below normal with many locations not making it out of the 50s.

These readings will be around 15 degrees below seasonal highs

for this time of year. 



Northwest flow aloft will be in place Thu, which will allow

temps to quickly get back to normal, with most locations seeing

highs back into the low 70s. Warming trend will continue into

Fri as we get back into the 80s with these warm readings

continuing into Sat. Storm chances will return for Sat night

into Sun as some upper energy tracks out of the Northern Rockies

and across the Central Plains. As this wave tracks southeast, a

brief cool down is anticipated for Sun. 



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue May 5 2026



Scattered showers and storms will track slowly east into

southeast Kansas during the overnight hours as a cold front

continues to move south. Northeast winds will increase behind

the front then gradually decrease as the afternoon goes one. Otherwise

low clouds in MVFR category will develop over southern Kansas 

and look to persist into the morning hours.



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...RBL

AVIATION...CDJ