FXUS63 KICT 020444

AFDICT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Wichita KS

1044 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Above normal temperatures through much of the upcoming week.



- Slight chance of a few snow flurries late Tue/early Wed with a 

  subtle cooldown on Wed.



- Above normal temperatures and dry weather conditions return in the 

  week and into the upcoming weekend.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 202 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026



A mid/upper ridge situated across the Southwest/Southern Rockies is 

progged to translate eastward with northwest mid/upper flow 

prevailing over the Central Plains. Above freezing temperatures

across much of central KS this afternoon allowed for some snow melt 

which served to moisten the pbl. This could result in some fog 

formation tonight, but confidence remains somewhat low at this time.



A clipper system digging across the Northern Plains on Monday will 

allow sfc low pressure to deepen over the Southern High Plains with 

light east to southeast winds prevailing over the Central Plains on 

Monday. The mid/upper ridge is progged to translate south and east 

over the Southern Plains. This will result in seasonably mild 

temperatures over the area with highs around 50 for many areas. A 

cold front will move over the area Monday night resulting in a tight 

range of temperatures over the area on Tuesday with highs in the mid 

50s in central KS while far eastern Kansas sees highs near 40. 

Another shortwave trough is progged to move through the mean trough 

over the Great Lakes bringing a slight chance for light wintry 

precipitation late Tue into early Wed. The progressive nature of the 

system will result in light precipitation amounts early on Wed with 

clearing by afternoon. Wed is expected to be the coolest day over 

the upcoming week with seasonable highs in the 40s.



Thu-Sun...Dry and mild weather is anticipated as we move through the 

latter portion of the work-week and into the upcoming weekend. A 

mid/upper ridge is progged to build over the central CONUS through 

the period with above average temperatures. Many locations could see 

highs in the low 60s through much of the period.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...

Issued at 1038 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026



The main aviation concern continues to be the potential for 

patchy fog after 09Z at all sites. The latest HREF has trended 

towards lower probabilities for VSBY less than 3SM (now 30-50% 

areawide). Will maintain the TEMPO for reduced VSBY from 09-13Z 

but coverage of fog remains quite uncertain. Otherwise, light 

and variable winds will prevail through much of the period. A 

weak cold front will shift winds to the northwest at RSL and GBD

with a few gusts as high as 20 kt during the mid to late 

afternoon hours. 



&&



.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...MWM

AVIATION...BRF