FXUS63 KGRR 071729 AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 129 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Brief period of light snow this morning possible, chilly - Mid week mixed rain/snow && .UPDATE... Issued at 1045 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025 The front is moving through. Temperatures are a little warmer resulting in more rain than snow. Light snow showers are occuring behind the front, but accumulations if any would be limited to grassy surfaces. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 330 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025 - Brief period of light snow this morning possible, chilly Low pressure moving across northern Lower will pull a cold front south across the region today, ushering in another round of winter weather. Regional radar shows a weakening band of light snow stretching from northeast Wisconsin east across the Straits with the band sinking slowly south. Short range models have scaled back the amount and duration of snowfall considerably with recent model runs. What looked like a few inches of snow possible several days ago now looks more like a half inch to an inch over the northern two rows of counties with little if anything south of there. H8 temps will fall to around -12c behind the front later this morning and afternoon. That will be enough to produce some scattered lake effect snow showers. Little if any accumulation is expected. The chilly air will be with us through Tuesday as highs will remain in the 30s before climbing into the 40s Wednesday and Thursday. - Mid week mixed rain/snow Models have held onto the theme of a weak low developing in the lee of the Rockies mid week as a northern stream wave helps to carve an upper trough over the Great Lakes. The GFS continues to be the more robust of the model solutions and is considerably deeper with the low than the ECMWF. We'll continue with the theme of mixed rain and snow developing Wednesday day and continuing into Thursday before the low moves east. Once the upper trough moves east of the region, temperatures will warm considerably as ridging moves in. Highs will be into the 60s over the weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 128 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Some areas of MVFR conditions can be expected this afternoon in snow flurries. Stratus deck with bases/ceilings of 3000 to 3500 feet AGL and tops around 8000 feet will break up by early evening with VFR conditions prevailing tonight into Tuesday afternoon. Northwest winds will gust over 20 knots through the afternoon then slowly decrease this evening to 10 knots or less. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for LMZ844>849. && $$ UPDATE...RAH DISCUSSION...04 AVIATION...Ostuno