FXUS63 KFGF 212009

AFDFGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Grand Forks ND

309 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Light rain/snow mix this afternoon into the evening. No

  impacts are expected. Temperatures will vary sharply from

  north to south for at least the next several days as a strong

  thermal boundary remains in place.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



...Synopsis...



Cooler air works into the area tonight following a brief period of 

light rain/snow mix. North to northwest winds prevail into Sunday, 

then shift to the south on Monday. A strong baroclinic zone is 

expected to remain in place across the northern CONUS, with much 

colder air to the north and warm air to the south. As such, 

temperatures will vary greatly from north to south. Look for a 

rebound into the 50s for areas in southeast North Dakota, with highs 

in the upper 30s to low 40s in northwest Minnesota on Monday. 

Tuesday brings similar temps, with a slightly warmer day on 

Wednesday. Another cold front brings a chance for precipitation 

Wednesday into Thursday; however, confidence remains somewhat low as 

ensemble guidance has higher than average disagreement, as well as 

several potential scenarios. Heading into Friday and the weekend, 

additional uncertainty surrounds another potential trough passage 

and cold front.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...

Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



IFR to LIFR ceilings prevail at KDVL, KGFK, and KTVF this 

afternoon as a cold front slowly moves southward. These lower

ceilings will eventually move into KFAR and KBJI later this

afternoon. There is a chance for a light rain/snow mix as the

front moves through; however, accumulation potential is very

low. Winds have already shifted to the north everywhere except

KBJI and KTVF, which will see this shift during the early

afternoon. Wind gust potential will be around 25-30 knots, 

mainly just after the frontal passage.



&&



.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

ND...None.

MN...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Lynch

AVIATION...Lynch