FXUS63 KFGF 070421 AFDFGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1121 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - The probability of widespread weather impacts is low through the next 7 days. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Winds remain pretty breezy yet, but they will slowly decrease overnight. Otherwise, there is some thin cirrus moving into central and eastern North Dakota. UPDATE Issued at 606 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The surface pressure gradient is still pretty tight across the FA with good 925-850mb cold advection. Therefore, expect the breezy conditions to last through sunset before finally beginning a slow decrease overnight. There are some cumulus clouds across the FA, most of which should thin after sunset. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 300 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 ...Synopsis... Northerly flow is currently in place over our region between a large upper low near Hudson Bay and 570DM mid level ridging building into the Northern Rockies. The main result will be cooler temperatures while we remain under northerly flow (a bit below average for early April) before ridging slides east through midweek. A mid level wave rotates through the region on the back side of this ridging bringing light precipitation (less than 20% chance for 0.1" of rainfall and even lower probabilities for measurable snow). Behind that shortwave trough a stronger/broader ridge builds into Northern Plains with a more substantial warm up through next weekend. As that ridge slides east and begins to flatten, there is a signal for west-southwest flow with larger spread in storm track/shortwave trough evolution between clusters. There is a general increase in measurable rainfall chances (20-30%) across the region, but details remain highly uncertain. Within a subset of guidance there is a signal for elevated instability that could support elevated thunderstorms Sunday, but machine learning based ensemble output does not support a severe risk in our area. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1121 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 No impacts are expected at the TAF sites throughout this period. Winds will become light with a little cirrus around. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && $$ UPDATE...Godon DISCUSSION...DJR AVIATION...Godon