FXUS62 KTBW 060012 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 812 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Warm and mainly dry with near record high temperatures possible over inland areas Wednesday through Friday. - Scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and a few thunderstorms return by this weekend. && .UPDATE... Issued at 804 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 It has been a pleasant and warm day with only a couple of light showers this afternoon. Temperatures were above average across west central and southwest Florida with daytime high temperatures topping out in the mid 80s to low 90s. Rain-free conditions expected to continue overnight and on Wednesday. Overnight lows will dip into the mid 60s to low 70s with daytime highs on Wednesday reaching the upper 80s to mid 90s. No changes needed to current forecast. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 804 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 VFR and rain-free conditions with light winds less than 12 knots expected through the forecast period. && .MARINE... Issued at 804 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 Winds will gradually shift during the week becoming more southerly on Wednesday then southwesterly later in the week. A weak boundary drifting in from the north will increase the chance for showers and thunderstorms Friday through the weekend, and then a better chance early next week when a stronger front approaches. No headlines are expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 71 91 73 89 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 70 91 72 92 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 68 94 70 95 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 69 89 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 62 94 64 92 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 76 90 77 89 / 0 0 0 0 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Fleming