FXUS62 KKEY 031744

AFDKEY



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Key West FL

1244 PM EST Tue Feb 3 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Weather will trend drier and modestly warmer for the next few

  days. 



- Gentle to moderate breezes will continue through Wednesday 

  night before breezes freshen ahead of the next cold front.



- The next cold front is scheduled to push through the Florida

  Keys on Thursday afternoon or evening.



&&



.AVIATION...

(18Z TAFS)

Issued at 1242 PM EST Tue Feb 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at both island terminals through 18z

Wednesday afternoon. A batch of BKN CIGs will approach MTH and

then possibly EYW overnight, although they should also remain

above VFR heights. Near-surface northeasterly winds will

occasionally gust 16 to 18 knots through sunset, with gusts

decreasing and becoming much less frequent overnight through

Wednesday.



&&



.MARINE...

Issued at 508 AM EST Tue Feb 3 2026 

No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect in 

the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, moderate, generally north 

to northeast breezes are expected through Wednesday. Near the end 

of the week, another cold front will push through the Keys marine 

zones. This will bring another push of freshened breezes and 

building seas for Friday into the weekend.



&&



.PREV DISCUSSION...

Issued at 508 AM EST Tue Feb 3 2026

The mild weather is thanks to a broad high pressure dominating 

the southeastern US, which will continue to suppress any moisture 

attempting to enter the area. Under this pattern the Keys will 

experience gentle to moderate winds with dry conditions through 

midweek as the high remains in control. Going into Thursday, winds

will quickly freshen and back as another cold front races through

our area. Ahead of the front, rain chances will slightly increase

with a possibility of a pre-frontal line of showers. Confidence 

is increasing that Small Craft Advisory headlines may be required 

from late Thursday and Thursday night. This front will then bring 

another round of cooler temperatures for the Keys with lows 

projected in the mid to lower 50s for a majority of the island 

chain, with the Upper Keys potentially seeing upper 40s. Stay 

tuned.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Key West  66  60  70  61 /   0   0   0  10 

Marathon  64  59  68  60 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.

GM...None.

&&



$$



Public/Marine/Fire...BT

Aviation/Nowcasts....BT

Data Acquisition.....BT



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