FXUS62 KFFC 051806 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 206 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 ...New 18Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... - Shower and thunderstorm chances return mid week (Wednesday and Thursday). A few storms may become strong to severe, with winds and flash flooding being the main concerns. - Temperatures to remain near or just below normal through most of the period. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 217 AM EDT Tue May 5 2026 High pressure centered off the Mid-Atlantic coast nosing into GA and the Carolinas. This ridge is loosing its grip on the region as the center is expected to move further east out to sea through Wed. The ridge will keep things dry today, but with it moving out this will allow precip to begin moving into N GA tonight. the frontal system developing across the central plains this morning. The frontal boundary moves across the southern great lake states and into the Ohio Valley through tonight. A closed low center develops along the frontal boundary over OK/AR this evening which moves rapidly east across TN/KY tonight. This low center pushes some showers and isolated thunderstorms into N GA just after midnight. These showers and thunderstorms continue through the day Wed with some strong storms expected Wed afternoon into the evening hours. SPC currently has portions of north GA under a marginal risk of severe storms for Wed afternoon/Night. Temps Today and Wednesday will get up into the 70s and 80s with lows tonight in the 50s and 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 217 AM EDT Tue May 5 2026 The long term kicks off on Thursday as showers and thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing from the previous afternoon. The main concern on Thursday will be heavy rain, which could present some flash flooding problems. Especially across the metro area. Heavy rain primarily along the I-20 corridor on Thursday morning could drop up to two inches of rain in a 12 hour period. While most of the state remains in drought, this much rain over an urban area has the potential to create run off problems leading to urban flash flooding issues. As the front sinks south through the day on Thursday, it will pull the axis of heaviest precip to the southern part of the CWA. The threat of severe weather will remain low, as cloud coverage will limit destabilization across central Georgia, but the possibility of a few strong thunderstorms is certainly possible. Another impulse in the upper level trough looks like it will take aim at the area on Saturday, brining another round of showers and thunderstorms to central Georgia, before another stronger low sweeps through the area on Monday brining back the chance for thunderstorms briefly before high pressure gives us a break by the middle part of the week. Temperatures will fall back into 70s on Thursday where they'll remain through the rest of the forecast period. Overnight lows on Thursday into Friday as well as Friday into Saturday will fall into the 40s and it's entirely possible that a few obs in the upper 30s show up in the NE Georgia Mountains. Given our current setup, the threat for frost remains low, but if you have any sensitive plants consider brining them inside. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 202 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 VFR conditions to start the period with increasing high clouds (20-25kft) throughout the day into the overnight hours. Chances for a period of MVFR or lower CIGs will increase around 10-16Z Wednesday for the ATL area, with very low end SHRA chances as well. A return to VFR CIGs and PROB30 SHRA is expected after 18Z Wednesday. Winds out of the S-SW at around 10kts this afternoon, then becoming light again tonight, and returning to 10G20kts Wednesday morning. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Medium in timing and heights of low CIGs Wednesday AM. High on other elements. Culver && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 60 84 65 78 / 10 40 80 80 Atlanta 63 83 67 76 / 10 40 80 80 Blairsville 56 73 59 72 / 30 80 90 70 Cartersville 61 81 62 75 / 20 60 90 70 Columbus 60 87 67 79 / 0 20 60 90 Gainesville 61 80 65 76 / 20 60 90 70 Macon 59 88 67 80 / 0 10 50 90 Rome 61 80 63 75 / 30 80 100 60 Peachtree City 60 85 64 77 / 10 30 80 80 Vidalia 62 91 68 85 / 0 0 20 70 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...01 LONG TERM....Vaughn AVIATION...Culver