FXUS61 KGYX 052251 AFDGYX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 651 PM EDT Tue May 5 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Limited thunder chances to just through early evening. Otherwise, periods of showers will continue through the night before additional moisture moves into the region for Wednesday. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Thunderstorm threat wanes late this afternoon and early evening, with periods of showers overnight. 2. Widespread soaking rainfall Wednesday into Wednesday night as a cold front slowly moves through from west to east. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... With the loss of peak heating and an overall marginal display of CAPE or deeper instability, the line of showers now combing through central NH and into southern ME will end the threat for strong to severe storms for the evening. Have also removed mention of thunder past 8pm this evening. Background winds, including gusts 30 to 35 mph, remain for another hour or two before mixing ends for the day. In addition, marine air has steadily pushed inland, thus limited wind gusts across the Midcoast and lower Kennebec Valley. It will remain breezy tonight, but not nearly as gusty as this afternoon. Will monitor the chance for fog development near the Midcoast through tonight. Periods of rain pass through the area overnight, with more organization and steady rainfall expected Wednesday. KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... A heavier, steady rain moves in from west to east Wednesday and Wednesday evening. While we can't rule out a couple embedded non-severe storms, for the most part it looks like a steady, wetting rain. Rain totals by the time it tapers off late Wednesday night should be generally 1-1.5 inches in northern portions of the area, with as little as 0.3 to 0.6 near the coast and into southern New Hampshire. Flooding is not expected other than very minor issues over poor draining areas. A fairly cool and unsettled weather pattern persists into the weekend, though timing of any additional weather systems this weekend is still pretty uncertain. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... This Afternoon... Generally VFR. Storms at northern terminals likely around 19-0z, but at southern terminals just a few showers. S wind 10-15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Tonight... VFR most areas, but MVFR and possibly IFR developing later toward 12z. Best chance of IFR is RKD. S wind around 10 kts. Wednesday... Deteriorating conditions from west to east, with IFR and rain developing. S wind 10-15 kts. Wednesday Night... Improving from W to E with most areas becoming VFR. Winds becoming W/NW 5-10 kts. Thursday to Saturday... Mainly VFR with a chance of MVFR. Generally W winds, 5-15 kts. && .MARINE... SCA conditions persisting into Wed night, with gales likely tonight for outer waters. From Thu on, winds/seas generally less than SCA levels. && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. NH...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ150-152- 154. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ151-153. Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ180-182. && $$ DISCUSSION...Foisy/Cornwell