FXUS61 KCAR 190613 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 213 AM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Increasing confidence in potential winter storm late in the weekend into early next week. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Snow moves in Friday night continuing into Saturday. Minor snow accumulations over central areas will result in slick travel Saturday morning. 2) Winter storm possible at the beginning of the week, bringing travel impacts to portions of the area. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Snow moves in Friday night continuing into Saturday. Minor snow accumulations over central areas will result in slick travel Saturday morning. KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Surface low will move thru the Great Lakes on Friday with overrunning precipitation developing Friday evening. Low will ride along coastal front in favored region of upper level jet. Categorical pops over Downeast areas on Friday night with plenty of synoptic forcing will bring qpf amounts of around 0.50 inches Friday night into Saturday morning. Temps likely to be in the mid 30s over Downeast at onset with a rain/snow mix occurring through the overnight, cutting down on snow accums. QPF amounts will be lower further to the north where temps are cold enough for all snow, bringing around 2-3 inches, mainly from Houlton over to Katahdin. This likely to bring slippery travel conditions late Friday night into Saturday morning. KEY MESSAGE 2...Winter storm possible at the beginning of the week, bringing travel impacts to portions of the area. KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... Another storm looks to be on tap for the region late in the weekend into early next week. Deterministic guidance beginning to hint at sfc low somewhere in the vicinity of Downeast or near the Gulf of Maine Monday morning. Ensemble members are very gradually coming into better agreement with a surface low somewhere near the Gulf of Maine. Still too early to talk specifics but there are signs that another storm will be impacting the region early in the week. && .AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Today...VFR. Light and variable winds early becoming S/SE around 10 kts with gusts up to 20 kts. Tonight...VFR early deteriorating to MVFR by around midnight in snow showers. Some brief IFR also possible. S/SW winds 5 to 10 kts. Friday...VFR early, likely deteriorating to MVFR during the evening in snow showers at northern terminals and rain/snow showers at southern terminals. W/SW wind 5 to 10 kts. Friday night-Saturday...MVFR/IFR in snow north and rain/snow south. S 5kts becoming N 5-10kts Sat. Saturday night-Sunday...VFR/MVFR. WNW 5-10kts. Sunday night-Monday...MVFR/IFR in snow. NE becoming N 5-15kts. && .MARINE... High confidence winds and seas will remain below small craft advisory criteria through Friday. SCA conditions beginning Friday night with S winds approaching 30kts overnight veering to W Saturday afternoon. SCA level winds and seas continue over the outer waters through Monday. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...21/SM AVIATION...21/SM