FXUS23 KWNC 201902

PMDSST

Tropical Pacific mean sea surface temperature/SST/ outlook

NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD

300 PM EST FRI MAR 13 2026



Mean temperature anomaly SST outlooks are in tenth of a degree

Celsius for the Nino 3.4 area of the tropical Pacific /5N-5S 

120W-170W/.  Anomalies are from 1991-2020 Nino 3.4 climatology

SST /CLIM/.



Three month outlook periods

eg. JFM is January through March - FMA for FEB. through APR.

See notes below on types of outlooks



TYPE   AMJ  MJJ  JJA  JAS  ASO  SON  OND  NDJ  DJF  JFM  FMA  MAM  AMJ

CONS   0.4  0.5  0.6  0.6  0.7  0.9  0.5  0.4  0.3  0.3  0.3  0.2  0.2

U68    0.8  1.0  1.2  1.4  1.6  2.0  1.6  1.5  1.4  1.3  1.1  0.8  0.6

L68    0.0  0.0  0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3

U95    1.0  1.2  1.5  1.8  2.1  2.5  2.2  2.2  2.0  1.9  1.5  1.2  0.9

L95   -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -1.4 -1.4 -1.4 -1.3 -1.0 -0.7 -0.6

CCA   -0.0  0.1  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.4  0.4  0.4  0.3  0.3  0.4  0.4  0.3

CA     0.4  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.1  1.3  1.2  1.1  1.0  0.8  0.7  0.6

CFS    0.6  0.9  1.1  1.3  1.5  1.7                                   



CLM   27.8 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.6 26.7 26.9 27.3 27.7 27.8





CONS - Official consolidated outlook

U68  - The upper limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast

L68  - The lower limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast

U95  - The upper limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast

L95  - THE lower limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast

CCA  - Canonical correlation analysis outlook

CA   - Constructed analog outlook

CFS  - NCEP CFS version 2 dynamic model outlook

CLM  - Climatological mean Nino 3.4 SST

This product is available in a graphical format on the internet

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov



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