FXUS01 KWBC 020823

PMDSPD



Short Range Forecast Discussion

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

300 AM EST Mon Feb 02 2026



Valid 12Z Mon Feb 02 2026 - 12Z Wed Feb 04 2026



...Extreme Cold/Freeze Warnings remain in effect early this

morning across much of Florida into southern Georgia/Alabama,

portions of the Carolinas and southeastern Louisiana before a

gradual moderating trend sets in...



...A series of Alberta clippers will spread light snow across the

Great Lakes today, and periods of light snow/wintry mix across the

Northern Plains for the next couple of days...



...A frontal wave will bring increasing chance of showers and

embedded thunderstorms across the South and light snow across the

Ohio Valley on Tuesday, spreading east into the Mid-Atlantic

Tuesday night/Wednesday morning...



With the departure of the intense cyclone responsible for dumping

more than a foot of heavy snow that is rarely seen near the coast

of North Carolina, arctic air remains engulfing much of the

eastern U.S., the South, and especially Florida.  This has

resulted in an extremely rare situation in which it is colder

across the Sunshine State than over Montana in the depth of

winter.  Extreme Cold/Freeze Warnings remain in effect early this

morning across much of Florida into southern Georgia/Alabama,

portions of the Carolinas and southeastern Louisiana.  A gradual

warming trend is expected to bring milder than normal temperatures

into the Southeast on Tuesday  However, temperatures will remain

below normal for early February over the Florida Peninsula while a

reinforcing surge of arctic air will move into the Great Lakes

toward the Ohio Valley Tuesday into Wednesday morning.



Meanwhile, much of the western U.S. will remain quiet weatherwise

with above normal temperatures.  The exception will be over the

Pacific Northwest where rain from the next Pacific system arrives

today before tapering off tonight.  A series of Alberta clippers

will form downstream and bring periods of light snow or wintry mix

across the Northern Plains for the next couple of days.  Light

snow will also be found across the Great Lakes today in

association with the lead clipper system followed by the arrival

of an arctic front on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, the northern High Plains with see increasingly above

normal warmth due to clearing skies and downslope winds as the

clippers track farther to the east.



A weak jet stream wave, will track across the Rockies and trigger

the formation of a frontal wave across the Southern High Plains

late today.  This will help to draw moisture from the Gulf toward

the Arklatex region on Tuesday with increasing chance of showers

and possibly embedded thunderstorms.  By Tuesday night into

Wednesday morning, the frontal wave is forecast to track northeast

toward the Mid-Atlantic region to meet with an reinforcing surge

of arctic air from the Great Lakes.  This should help develop an

area of light snow across the Ohio Valley later on Tuesday, across

the central Appalachians by Tuesday evening, reaching into the

Mid-Atlantic Tuesday night, and beginning to move off the

Mid-Atlantic coast early on Wednesday.  Meanwhile, showers and

possibly embedded thunderstorms should be moving across the South

and into the Southeast into Wednesday morning.





Kong





Graphics available at

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php



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