FNUS76 KOTX 041511

FWSOTX



Spot Forecast for St. Joe Divide Rx...USFS

National Weather Service Spokane WA

811 AM PDT Mon May 4 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PDT on May 05. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...



Warm and dry conditions will continue for the burn area through 

the week. There is a 5-10 percent chance for showers and 

thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon, with the main threat being gusty 

outflow winds. Winds on Tuesday will be breezy in the wake of a dry

cold front passage with gusts 15-20 mph. 



.TUESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

CWR.................0 percent. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....56-60. 

Min humidity........27-32 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6-8 mph with gusts to 

                    around 15-20 mph shifting to the northeast 

					around 1400. 

Mixing height.......Inversion breaking around 0800 and increasing 

                    to 7000 ft AGL in the afternoon. 

Transport winds.....Northeast up to 20 mph. 



.TUESDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 

CWR.................0 percent. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Min temperature.....39-43. 

Max humidity........54-58 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6-8 mph with gusts 15-20 mph 

                    shifting to the southeast around 2000 and 

                    decreasing to 5-7 mph.

Mixing height.......Falling to near surface around 2300.

Transport winds.....Northeast up to 20 mph shifting to the east at 

					8 mph around 2000. 



.WEDNESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 5-10% chance of showers and 

                    thunderstorms from 1400 through 2000. Main 

                    impacts will be gusty outflow winds. 

CWR.................5 percent. 

Chance of lightning.10 percent. 

Max temperature.....64-68. 

Min humidity........33-38 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 3-5 mph shifting to the 

                    southwest 5-7 mph around 1100 with gusts up to 

					10 mph. 

Mixing height.......Inversion breaking around 0800 and increasing to 

					5000 feet in the afternoon.

Transport winds.....Southeast up to 8 mph shifting to the west 

					around 0800 and increasing to up to 15 mph 

					around 0500.



$$

Forecaster...AS/RFKS

Requested by...Marshall Myhre

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2612629.0/OTX

.DELDT 05/04/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL marshall.myhre@usda.gov