FNUS76 KMFR 250153

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for KVBAR Shine RX...Grayback Forestry

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

653 PM PDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on October 25. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Strong, gusty southerly winds are expected  

Saturday, with breezy to gusty winds continuing on 

Sunday. Moderate rain is expected Saturday. Then, a mix 

of rain and snow is expected Saturday evening/night.  

Additional rain and snow showers are likely on Sunday.



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely 

                    early in the morning, then rain showers in the 

                    late morning and afternoon. Rainfall accumulation

                    of around 0.2 to 0.35 inches. 

Chance of lightning.13 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 46. 

Min humidity........80-85 percent. 

Eye level winds.....South winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 15 

                    mph, increasing to southwest 9 to 12 mph with

                    gusts to 23 mph in the late morning and early 

                    afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 

                    30 mph, increasing to southwest 18 to 25 mph 

                    with gusts to 45 mph in the late morning and 

                    early afternoon. 

Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 35-40 mph. 

CWR.................88 percent. 



.SATURDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers 

                    likely in the evening. Snow showers likely 

                    through the night. Snowfall accumulation

                    around 1 inch. 

Chance of lightning.9 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 28. 

Max humidity........95 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 

                    15 mph, lowering to south 3 to 5 mph 

                    with gusts to 8 mph overnight.  

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest to west winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts 

                    to around 30 mph, lowering to south 5 to 10 mph 

                    with gusts to 16 mph overnight. 

Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest 25-30 mph, lowering to 15 mph. 

CWR.................50 percent. 



.SUNDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow showers likely in 

                    the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers 

                    likely in the late morning and afternoon. 

                    Snowfall accumulation of around 1 inch. 

Chance of lightning.6 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 41. 

Min humidity........82 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 

                    around 10 mph, becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph

                    with gusts to around 14 mph. 

Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 18 mph, 

                    becoming southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts  

                    to around 28 mph. 

Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 15-20 mph. 

CWR.................65 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...CLARSTROM

Requested by...Sean Hendrix

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2524334.2/MFR

.DELDT 10/24/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL Sean@graybackforestry.com