FNUS76 KMFR 242241

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Moon Complex...NV IMT3 Team 4

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

341 PM PDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 PDT on October 25. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT

SATURDAY...



...Chance for thunderstorms (25%) on Saturday with a low chance (5%)

of severe, damaging winds...



.DISCUSSION...Moderate to strong winds are likely Saturday as

a strong front moves into the area. This front will also bring

another round of moderate to heavy rain. There is a  chance

(25%) for thunderstorms on Saturday. These storms have the low 

chance (5%) to be strong, and bring severe, damaging winds (with 

gusts up to around 60 mph).  Thunderstorm chances decrease and 

winds will trend lower Saturday evening and night. Additional 

light to moderate rain  is likely Saturday night and Sunday. 



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of 

                    thunderstorms. 

Chance of lightning.25 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 47-53. 

Min humidity........85 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Valley. Southwest 12-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. 

                    Ridges. Southwest 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph.

                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 

CWR.................100 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Valley. Southwest 6-12 mph, with gusts to 20 mph. 

                    Ridges 12-20 mph, with gusts to 30 mph. 





.SATURDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Slight chance of 

                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Rain 

                    showers through the night. 

Chance of lightning.17 percent early in the evening, lowering to 

                    10 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 36-41. 

Max humidity........98 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Valley. Southwest 10-18 mph with gusts to 25 mph,

                    lowering to southwest 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 

                    20 mph overnight. 

                    Ridges. Southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 

CWR.................98 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Valley. Southwest 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph,

                    lowering to southwest 4-8 mph with gusts to 

                    12 mph overnight. 

                    Ridges. Southwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. 

 



.SUNDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers, then rain 

                    showers likely late in the afternoon. 

Chance of lightning.12 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 43-51. 

Min humidity........75 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Valley. South 8-14 mph with gusts to 20 mph,

                    becoming southwest in the afternoon. 

					Ridge. South 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph,

                    becoming southwest in the afternoon. 

CWR.................97 percent decreasing to 40 percent late in the 

                    afternoon. 

Eye level winds.....Valley. South 4-7 mph with gusts to 12 mph,

                    becoming southwest in the afternoon. 

					Ridge. South 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph,

                    becoming southwest in the afternoon. 





$$

Forecaster...CLARSTROM

Requested by...Shawn McEvers

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2524454.0/MFR

.DELDT 10/24/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL shawn_mcevers@firenet.gov