FNUS76 KMFR 200118

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Panther 15...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

618 PM PDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PDT on March 20. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...An increase in dewpoint should raise humidity a bit 

on Friday compared to recent days, though it'll remain dry with sun 

and some high clouds. A marine push will shift winds to NW during 

the afternoon, and then a cold front will move through at night. 

Expect more clouds to bank up against the Siskiyous and this could 

(10-20% chance) produce a little light rain/drizzle into Saturday

morning, but the moisture won't amount to much. Cooler air with 

higher humidity will overtake the area on Saturday with winds (breezy)

shifting back to the N. Things dry out again Sunday/Monday, then 

another cold front/marine push brings a chance of light rain toward 

mid next week (Tue night/Wed).



.FRIDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with some high clouds. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....66-70. 

Min humidity........25-30 percent. 

Eye level winds.....SSW 1-3 mph, becoming NW after 1200.  

Wind (20 ft)........SSW 5-10 mph with gusts to 22 mph becoming NW 

                    and increasing to 8-14 mph after 1200.  

Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....SW 10-20 mph, becoming NW in the afternoon.  

CWR.................0 percent.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Becoming mostly cloudy. A low chance (10-20%) 

                    of light rain/drizzle toward morning.  

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Min temperature.....45. 

Max humidity........90 percent. 

Eye level winds.....NW 1-2 mph, then variable overnight. 

Wind (20 ft)........NW-N 8-14 mph with gusts to 26 mph in the evening, 

                    then becoming WSW 5-10 mph overnight. 

Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy with a low chance (10-20%) of light 

                    rain or drizzle until 1200, then becoming 

                    partly sunny. Breezy, cooler.

Chance of lightning.2 percent. 

Max temperature.....50-55. 

Min humidity........50-60 percent. 

Eye level winds.....W becoming NW 1-4 mph. 

Wind (20 ft)........WSW becoming N 10-15 mph. Gusts to 28 mph. 

Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....NW 15-20 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...SPILDE

Requested by...Joseph Van Domelen

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2605988.3/MFR

.DELDT 03/20/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL joseph.vandomelen@usda.gov