FNUS76 KMFR 060015

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Bly Ridge...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

515 PM PDT Tue May 5 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on May 06. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Dry weather takes hold Wednesday and Thursday with 

mainly sunny skies and lowering afternoon humidity. This will lead 

to rapid fuel drying. Expect breezy conditions to develop each 

afternoon/evening (mostly from the W) and drop off after sunset. 

Above normal temperatures are expected to continue for the foreseeable 

future. No significant rain chances are in the forecast for at least 

the next 7 days (generally <10%), so expect further drying.



.WEDNESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....76. 

Min humidity........18-23 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light and variable becoming W 2-5 mph with gusts to 

                    8 mph in the afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........SE 1-4 mph becoming W 6-11 mph with gusts to 

                    20 mph in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Variable 5 mph becoming W 10-15 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 44. 

Max humidity........80-90 percent. 

Eye level winds.....W 2-5 mph with gusts to 8 mph in the evening, then 

                    SW becoming SE 0-2 mph overnight.  

Wind (20 ft)........W 6-11 mph with gusts to 20 mph early in the evening, 

                    shifting to the SW, then SE 2-5 mph overnight. 

Mixing height.......Lowering to 500 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....W 10-15 mph easing to 5-10 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.THURSDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....76. 

Min humidity........12-17 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light and variable becoming W 2-6 mph with gusts to 

                    10 mph in the afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........SE 2-6 mph becoming W 7-13 mph with gusts to 

                    22 mph in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Variable 5 mph becoming 10-15 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...SPILDE

Requested by...Jose J. Castillo Jr.

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2612548.3/MFR

.DELDT 05/06/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL jose.castillo@usda.gov