FNUS76 KMFR 052301

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Kanaka 5...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

401 PM PDT Tue May 5 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 06. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Dry weather takes hold Wednesday and Thursday with 

mainly sunny skies and lowering afternoon humidity. This will lead 

to rapid fuel drying. Breezes should be fairly typical for the 

time of year with an upslope component during mid-morning as the 

sun rises, then northerly in the afternoon (upvalley). Above normal 

temperatures are expected through the rest of the week. No significant

rain chances are in the forecast for at least the next 7 days, so 

expect further drying. 



.WEDNESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 84. 

Min humidity........20-25 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Calm becoming upslope 0-1 mph, then N 1-2 mph 

                    in the afternoon. Gusts to 5 mph.

Wind (20 ft)........Variable 0-1 mph becoming upslope 0-2 mph, then 

                    N 2-6 mph with gusts to 10 mph in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....NW 5-10 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 48. 

Max humidity........96 percent. 

Eye level winds.....N 1-2 mph with gusts to 5 mph in the early evening, 

                    then becoming downslope and eventually calm 

                    overnight.  

Wind (20 ft)........N 2-6 mph with gusts to 10 mph in the eveing, then 

                    becoming downslope and easing to 0-2 mph overnight.  

Mixing height.......Lowering to 500 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....N 0-5 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.THURSDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 85. 

Min humidity........15-20 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Calm becoming upslope 0-1 mph, then N 1-2 mph 

                    in the afternoon. Gusts to 5 mph.

Wind (20 ft)........Variable 0-1 mph becoming upslope 0-2 mph, then 

                    N 2-6 mph with gusts to 10 mph in the afternoon.  

Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Variable 0-5 mph becoming W 5-10 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...SPILDE

Requested by...Julianne Upton

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2612848.0/MFR

.DELDT 05/06/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL julianne.upton@usda.gov