FNUS76 KMFR 050431

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Wildhorse Prescribed Burn...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

931 PM PDT Mon May 4 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 PDT on May 05. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Confidence is high in the forecast through the

weekend. A weak front is expected early Friday and may produce 

slight cooling with a barely measurable amount of rain. Otherwise, 

the weather will remain warm and dry with lower than normal humidity.

Early next week, another trough will approach the west coast. But,

there is a high amount of uncertainty in its track and the timing

of movement. Model solutions are about evenly split between slight

cooling and another slight chance to chance of showers (and perhaps

a risk of thunderstorms) with a progressive trough movement, or 

continued very warm and dry conditions with the trough remaining

farther offshore early next week. A truly wet and cool episode

is not likely.



.TUESDAY May 5...



Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 60. 

Min humidity........67 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west up to 4 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.TUESDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 47. 

Max humidity........74 percent. 

Eye level winds.....West winds around 3 mph in the evening becoming 

                    light. 

Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming 

                    light. 

Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....North around 5 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.WEDNESDAY May 6...



Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). 

Chance of lightning.0 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 63. 

Min humidity........60 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west up to 4 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY MAY 12 THROUGH MONDAY MAY 18...



For Oregon...Increased probabilities for above normal temperatures

        and below normal precipitation.



=

$$

Forecaster...WEYGAND

Requested by...Andrew Larrimore

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2612132.1/MFR

.DELDT 05/05/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL richard.larrimore@usda.gov