FNUS76 KMFR 040158

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for J Lo RX...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

658 PM PDT Sun May 3 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PDT on May 04. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Warmer than normal temperatures continue with a slight

chance of lighter showers and afternoon showers Monday. The larger

concern will be the stronger north to northwest winds that come

Monday afternoon. A drying trend quickly returns Tuesday and will

continue through the week with warmer temperatures.



.MONDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers

                    (15-25 percent) and thunderstorms (10-20 percent)

                    in the afternoon. 

Chance of lightning.16 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 72. 

Min humidity........25 percent. 

Eye level winds.....North winds up to 4 mph. 

Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 12 mph, gusts up to 17 mph.

                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms

                    in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....North around 16 mph. 

CWR.................15 percent. 



.MONDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. 

Chance of lightning.11 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 44. 

Max humidity........93 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 4 mph with gusts to 

                    around 7 mph in the evening becoming light. 

Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 

                    around 20 mph in the evening becoming light. 

Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest around 11 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.TUESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Chance of lightning.5 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 73. 

Min humidity........26 percent. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming north around 2 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 6 mph in the 

                    afternoon. 

Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....North around 15 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...HERMANSEN

Requested by...Preston Bridges

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2612022.5/MFR

.DELDT 05/04/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL philip.capurro@usda.gov,preston.bridges@usda.gov,leif.blair@usda.gov,Joshua.fitzpatrick@usda.gov