FNUS74 KMRX 201957 FWSMRX Spot Forecast for Elbow Creek RX...USFS National Weather Service Morristown TN 357 PM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on March 21. If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback for every spot forecast request. .DISCUSSION... For Saturday, winds will be westerly with RH's staying in the 40s. Showers and storms are possible in the late afternoon to the evening hours with potential for hail. Sunday will see a breezy southwesterly wind again with gusts of 20 to 30 mph. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........39 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph. Rainfall amount.....0.05 inches. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........40 42 42 33 27 29 30 Weather cov..... CHC Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ CHC Temp............66 69 73 75 77 78 79 RH..............68 59 49 46 43 40 39 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..3 4 4 5 5 6 6 20 FT wind gust.10 11 11 12 12 12 13 Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.6 3.1 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.7 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.9 9 9 13 13 14 15 .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening and overnight. Min temperature.....Around 56. Max humidity........96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening and overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph. Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........32 20 19 28 29 30 30 31 31 28 25 22 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Temp............77 75 72 67 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 58 RH..............42 48 55 63 70 75 78 81 84 87 90 90 20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 20 FT wind gust.13 12 11 10 10 10 8 8 7 7 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.13 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around 16 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 13 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph late in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........22 21 21 19 16 14 12 9 7 10 12 15 Weather cov..... Weather type....Tstm cov........ Temp............57 56 57 61 65 70 74 77 79 81 82 82 RH..............93 96 93 84 75 66 57 47 42 38 37 35 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 10 10 12 13 14 14 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.7 Transp wind dir.SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 13 16 20 21 $$ Forecaster...Doug Schneider Requested by...Drew Ford Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2606854.0/MRX .DELDT 03/20/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL drew.ford@usda.gov