FNUS73 KMPX 061052 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Lake Alexander Swenson Rx...The Nature Conservancy National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 552 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 06. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Partly to mostly cloudy skies will lead to cooler temperatures in the 40s today, with minimum relative humidity values around 35-40%. Northwesterly winds of 10-15MPH could gust to 20MPH this afternoon, assisting in keeping things cool. The lower temperatures and mediocre RHs will be limiting factors for fire weather concerns. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Temperature.........38 at ignition...Max 45. RH..................50 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /88700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /121500 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 22 mph. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............38 39 41 42 43 43 44 44 44 45 43 40 RH..............50 48 44 44 43 45 43 43 45 41 47 52 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 7 5 20 FT wind gust.21 21 22 21 22 22 22 21 20 17 14 9 Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.4 6.1 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.0 1.0 0.6 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW Transp wind spd.20 21 21 22 22 21 21 21 18 16 9 7 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of frost overnight. Widespread frost overnight. Temperature.........Min 29. RH..................Max 85 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (92100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1100 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph shifting to the west 3 to 6 mph. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost early in the morning, then areas of frost early in the morning. Temperature.........Max 55. RH..................Min 27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (100000 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (107100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to 18 mph late in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...Veserat Requested by...Ben Carlson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2612868.0/MPX .DELDT 05/06/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL benjamin.carlson@tnc.org