FNUS73 KMPX 051243

FWSMPX



Spot Forecast for Lena Smith Rx Fire...MPRB

National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN

743 AM CDT Tue May 5 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 05. 

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with 

this forecast.



.DISCUSSION...For the Lena Smith Rx, increasing northwest winds

today will stunt the afternoon highs in the low to mid 50s, and 

drop RH values to around 30 to 40 percent. The strongest winds are

expected to develop from 11AM to 7PM. Sustained values will range

mostly from 8-12 MPH with infrequent gusts near 20 MPH. Winds 

slow and turn north-northwesterly by late this evening. No rain 

expected today, but clouds do increase throughout the morning and 

afternoon.



.REST OF TODAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly 

                    sunny (60-70 percent). 

Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 54. 

RH..................50 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 6 mph at 

                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 6 to 14 

                    mph. 

Smoke dispersal.....Fair /24900 knot-ft/ at ignition. 

                    Max...excellent /121800 knot-ft/ increasing to 

                    excellent (128500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. 

Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7600 ft 

                    AGL. 

Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 21 mph shifting to the west 20 

                    to 23 mph in the afternoon. 



TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 

Sky cover.......MCR CLR MCR PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  

Weather cov.....                                                

Weather type....                                                

Tstm cov........                                                

Temp............42  43  45  47  49  51  51  52  53  52  52  51  

RH..............50  46  41  38  36  34  34  33  32  33  33  33  

20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  

20 FT wind spd..6   8   9   10  10  12  13  13  14  14  13  13  

20 FT wind gust.13  15  17  18  21  21  22  22  23  23  23  22  

Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.5 5.7 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.5 6.9 6.6 6.4 

Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  

Transp wind spd.14  15  17  20  21  20  22  23  23  22  22  21  



$$

Forecaster...Dettmann

Requested by...AD

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2612760.0/MPX

.DELDT 05/05/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL adale@minneapolisparks.org