FNUS51 KBUF 241405

FWFBUF



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York

National Weather Service Buffalo NY

1004 AM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025



.DISCUSSION...

Lake effect rain will continue east of both lakes today, with 

localized heavier rainfall confined to areas east of Lake Ontario 

through early this afternoon. Outside of the lake effect, expect 

scattered showers today, especially this afternoon. A few lighter 

lake effect showers will linger southeast of the lakes into the 

start of the weekend, with high pressure then expected to provide 

mainly dry conditions from later Sunday through at least Tuesday. A 

cool airmass will remain in place, keeping temperatures a bit below 

average through at least the first part of the new work week.



NYZ201-242000-

Lake Ontario Plains-

1004 AM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025



                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None

Chance Precip (%)                  50           50            0

Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0

Max/Min Temp                       52           32           52

Min/Max Humidity (%)               55          100           54

AM Wind (mph)                   SW  5                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)                    W  8      Lgt/Var        NW  5

Precip Amount                    0.16         0.03         0.00

Precip Duration                     7            2             

Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing             

Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM             

Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4670                      4230

Transport Wind (kts)             W 13        NW  8        NW  7

Vent Rate (kt-ft)               60710            0        29610

Dispersion Index                   61            0           30

Remarks...None.



$$



NYZ200-242000-

Southern Tier-

1004 AM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025



                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None

Chance Precip (%)                  50           60            0

Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0

Max/Min Temp                       51           32           50

Min/Max Humidity (%)               50          100           49

AM Wind (mph)                    W  5                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)                    W  9         W  5        NW  5

Precip Amount                    0.07         0.04         0.00

Precip Duration                     4            5             

Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing             

Precip End                 Continuing         5 AM             

Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5720                      4880

Transport Wind (kts)             W 15        NW  8        NW  7

Vent Rate (kt-ft)               85800            0        34160

Dispersion Index                   86            0           34

Remarks...None.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. 

.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. 

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

upper 40s. 

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

lower 50s. 

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

lower 50s. 

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the

upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. 



WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Light winds. 

WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph. 

WIND MONDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 

WIND TUESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 

WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 

WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.



$$