FNUS51 KBUF 240205 FWFBUF Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1004 PM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 .DISCUSSION... Lake effect rain will continue east of both lakes through the rest of the week, with localized additional rainfall amounts exceeding an inch in the most persistent bands of rain across the western Southern Tier off Lake Erie, and Oswego County and the Tug Hill Plateau off Lake Ontario. The last of the lake rains will taper off Saturday, with mostly dry weather then expected Sunday through Tuesday. Temperatures will continue to run on the cool side through early next week, with highs running about 5 degrees below average most days. NYZ201-240800- Lake Ontario Plains- 1004 PM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 50 50 50 30 Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0 Min/Max Temp 37 52 32 52 Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 55 100 51 AM Wind (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var PM Wind (mph) W 6 W 7 Lgt/Var NW 5 Precip Amount 0.15 0.14 0.03 0.01 Precip Duration 5 4 2 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 2 PM Mixing Height (ft-agl) 4510 5170 Transport Wind (kts) W 10 W 13 NW 8 NW 9 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 58630 0 46530 Dispersion Index 0 59 0 47 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ200-240800- Southern Tier- 1004 PM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 40 50 50 40 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0 Min/Max Temp 34 51 32 50 Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 50 100 47 AM Wind (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var PM Wind (mph) W 6 W 8 Lgt/Var NW 5 Precip Amount 0.12 0.06 0.04 0.01 Precip Duration 7 4 3 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 2 PM Mixing Height (ft-agl) 5560 5320 Transport Wind (kts) W 11 W 15 NW 9 NW 9 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 83400 0 47880 Dispersion Index 0 83 0 48 Remarks...None. $$ .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 50. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Light winds. WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph. WIND MONDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. WIND TUESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph. .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$