FNUS51 KBUF 192005

FWFBUF



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York

National Weather Service Buffalo NY

404 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



.DISCUSSION...

An area of low pressure and cold front will approach and cross the 

region tonight and Wednesday, with widespread showers and a few

thunderstorms. Dry weather will return late in the week as high

pressure builds into the region.



NYZ201-200800-

Lake Ontario Plains-

404 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None

Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           30            0

Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0

Min/Max Temp                       55           71           51           77

Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           68          100           44

AM Wind (mph)                                SE  6                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)                   SE  5         E  7         E  5        NE  5

Precip Amount                    0.49         0.39         0.02         0.00

Precip Duration                     9            4            1             

Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing             

Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         9 PM             

Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2200                      5580

Transport Wind (kts)            SE 10         E 13         E 12        NE 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        28600            0        55800

Dispersion Index                    0           29            0           56

Remarks...None.



$$



NYZ200-200800-

Southern Tier-

404 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None

Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           40            0

Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20            0            0

Min/Max Temp                       57           72           56           73

Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           72          100           60

AM Wind (mph)                                 S  6                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)                    S  6        SE  5      Lgt/Var        NE  5

Precip Amount                    0.32         0.32         0.05         0.00

Precip Duration                     6            4            2             

Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing             

Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         4 AM             

Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2330                      3290

Transport Wind (kts)             S 11         S  8        NE  9        NE 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        18640            0        32900

Dispersion Index                    0           19            0           33

Remarks...None.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 

.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 

.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower

60s. Highs in the mid 70s. 

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper

50s. Highs in the lower 70s. 

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower

50s. Highs in the upper 60s. 



WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph. 

WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph. 

WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph. 

WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph. 

WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.



$$