FNUS51 KBUF 191405

FWFBUF



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York

National Weather Service Buffalo NY

1004 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will remain across the Northeast today, providing 

mostly dry weather. An area of low pressure will approach the region 

tonight and showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible through 

Wednesday. Dry weather will return late in the week as high pressure 

builds into the region.



NYZ201-192000-

Lake Ontario Plains-

1004 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms

Chance Precip (%)                   0           70           70

Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20           20

Max/Min Temp                       80           54           72

Min/Max Humidity (%)               43          100           61

AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                     SE  7

PM Wind (mph)                   SE  5        SE  6         E  7

Precip Amount                    0.00         0.61         0.37

Precip Duration                                  6            7

Precip Begin                                  6 PM   Continuing

Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5880                      2980

Transport Wind (kts)             S  8        SE 10         E 14

Vent Rate (kt-ft)               47040            0        41720

Dispersion Index                   47            0           42

Remarks...None.



$$



NYZ200-192000-

Southern Tier-

1004 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025



                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms

Chance Precip (%)                   0           70           70

Chance of Thunder (%)               0           50           50

Max/Min Temp                       79           57           72

Min/Max Humidity (%)               47          100           68

AM Wind (mph)                    S  6                      S  7

PM Wind (mph)                    S  8         S  7         E  6

Precip Amount                    0.00         0.37         0.33

Precip Duration                                  6            7

Precip Begin                                  6 PM   Continuing

Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Height (ft-agl)           6250                      2870

Transport Wind (kts)             S 11         S 12        NE  9

Vent Rate (kt-ft)               68750            0        25830

Dispersion Index                   69            0           26

Remarks...None.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows

in the upper 50s. 

.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper

70s. 

.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the

lower 80s. 

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. 

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. 



WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph. 

WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 

WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph. 

WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph. 

WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph. 

WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.



$$