FNUS51 KBUF 050204

FWFBUF



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York

National Weather Service Buffalo NY

1004 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



.DISCUSSION...

No significant fire weather concerns are expected.



NYZ201-050800-

Lake Ontario Plains-

1004 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers

Chance Precip (%)                  40           70           90           90

Chance of Thunder (%)              20           50           50            0

Min/Max Temp                       51           69           40           51

Max/Min Humidity (%)               96           49          100           58

AM Wind (mph)                            SW 12 G28                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)                S  8 G24     W 11 G30      Lgt/Var         N  5

Precip Amount                    0.03         0.31         0.38         0.46

Precip Duration                     2            4           12            9

Precip Begin                    10 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Height (ft-agl)            140         5190          360         3310

Transport Wind (kts)             S 12        SW 22        NE  5        NE  9

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1680       114180         1800        29790

Dispersion Index                    1          160            1           29

Remarks...None.



$$



NYZ200-050800-

Southern Tier-

1004 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers

Chance Precip (%)                  40           70           90           90

Chance of Thunder (%)              20           50           50            0

Min/Max Temp                       52           70           41           52

Max/Min Humidity (%)               95           45          100           63

AM Wind (mph)                            SW 13 G27                   Lgt/Var

PM Wind (mph)               SW  9 G23    SW 12 G27    NW  5 G21         N  5

Precip Amount                    0.10         0.26         0.48         0.56

Precip Duration                     2            4           12           11

Precip Begin                    10 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Height (ft-agl)            170         6090          330         2120

Transport Wind (kts)            SW 14        SW 25        NE  5        NE  9

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2380       152250         1650        19080

Dispersion Index                    2          176            1           26

Remarks...None.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. 

.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. 

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower

50s. 

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows around

40. Highs in the mid 50s. 

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 50s. 

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower

40s. Highs in the mid 50s. 



WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph. 

WIND THURSDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND SATURDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.



$$