FNUS28 KWNS 242138

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0436 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Valid 261200Z - 011200Z



An mid-level shortwave trough will move eastward and weaken over the

Southeast through Day 5/Tuesday while upper-level troughing is

likely to remain over the Northeast. A strong upper-level trough

will move over the West this weekend, with shortwave ridging likely

following it through mid-next week. The upper-level trough is

forecast to move into the Southeast mid-next week and potentially

combine with the upper-level trough over the Northeast mid to late

next week along the East Coast. 



...Day 3/Sunday - Day 5/Tuesday...

Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely on portions of the

southern/central Plains Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday. However, given

recent and expected rainfall, fuels are unlikely to be receptive

enough to ignition and spread even under elevated to locally

critical fire weather conditions to warrant probabilities. Rainfall

will spread eastward from the southern Plains through much of the

Southeast this weekend through into mid-next week. Widespread

wetting rain is likely although portions of Florida are likely to

miss out. 



...Day 5/Tuesday - Day 7/Thursday...

Offshore, downslope winds are expected for southern California

beginning Day 5/Tuesday and continuing into Day 7/Thursday as

surface high pressure in the Intermountain West strengthens the

pressure gradient across southern California. While elevated/locally

critical winds/RH are expected, marginal fuel dryness will help

mitigate fire weather concerns, thus, precluding probabilities.



..Nauslar.. 10/24/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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