FNUS28 KWNS 042132

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0430 PM CDT Mon May 04 2026



Valid 061200Z - 121200Z



...Synopsis...

An expansive positively-tilted upper trough will extend across the

Southwest to the Great Lakes region with an embedded shortwave over

the Rockies on Day 3/Wednesday. Concurrently, a broad upper-level

low over eastern Canada will encourage unsettled weather across the

Northeast with a cold front transporting plentiful moisture to

portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast through Day 5/Friday.

Broader fire weather concerns may temporarily be dampened for much

of the eastern U.S. for the duration of the forecast period, given a

widespread transition to green up and expected appreciable

precipitation. An upper ridge will build across the Pacific

Northwest mid-week, resulting in above normal temperatures and dry

conditions to prevail for much of the western U.S. through the

weekend. 



On Day 3/Wednesday, the upper trough will migrate atop the southern

Plains and West TX as an area of surface convergence develops east

of the Front Range. This feature is expected to send a cold front

through the TX Panhandle, while downslope westerly winds and a dry

airmass persists over West TX. Recent plentiful rainfall and

marginal fuels precludes the introduction of probabilities. 



Beneath an upper ridge and northwesterly flow aloft, above normal

temperatures and a dry airmass will remain over much of the western

CONUS with sporadic areas of breezy conditions. Localized fire

weather concerns may emerge where terrain-induced winds and dry

fuels align. Farther east, persistent upper-level troughing over the

northern Plains and Upper Midwest will shunt most moisture chances

south of the area. Mostly dry and occasionally breezy conditions

will prevail, promoting localized fire weather concerns where fuels

remain dry and the green up transition has not yet occurred.



..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/04/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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