FNAK71 PAFC 240107

FWSAER



Spot Forecast for 20 Mile...DPS

National Weather Service Anchorage AK

507 PM AKDT Thu Oct 23 2025



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 AKDT on October 23. 

.DISCUSSION...



A pair of weak lows moving over the northern Gulf will lift

northwest and inland into the Kenai Peninsula later tonight and

shift into the Cook Inlet tomorrow. Another round of rain and

gusty easterly winds will move through with this system overnight

tonight into Friday morning, with some improvement in conditions

likely during the afternoon. Additional upper disturbances will

rotate into the coast around the north side of a larger low

drifting over the Gulf from Friday into Saturday, with the timing

of additional rounds of light rain/snow still uncertain. Snow

levels should generally trend down as the air mass in place cools,

so expect passing showers to fall mainly as snow for all but the

lowest valleys closer to Girdwood and Portage by Friday night. The

best window for a break in rain/snow and lower cloud cover over

the next couple days still looks focused towards Saturday

afternoon. 



.REST OF TONIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers 

                    early in the evening, then rain showers 

                    overnight. 

Chance of pcpn......40 percent increasing to 90 percent after

					midnight. 

Min temperature.....Around 34. 

Wind chill..........Around 27. 

Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph. 

CEILING (KFT).......1500 to 2000 ft. 

Visibility..........4 to 6 miles. 

Snow level..........2000 to 2500 ft. 



.FRIDAY...



Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers. 

Chance of pcpn......80 percent decreasing to 50 percent

					in the afternoon. 

Max temperature.....Around 37. 

Wind chill..........Around 25. 

Surface winds (mph).East winds 13 to 20 mph. Gusts to 30 mph. 

CEILING (KFT).......Around 1500 ft increasing to 3000 ft

					in the afternoon. 

Visibility..........2 miles increasing to 5 miles in the

					afternoon. 

Snow level..........1600 to 2000 ft. 



.FRIDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Snow showers 

                    likely in the evening, then chance of snow 

                    showers overnight. 

Chance of pcpn......70 percent. 

Min temperature.....Around 29. 

Wind chill..........Around 25. 

Surface winds (mph).East winds 7 to 12 mph. 

CEILING (KFT).......2000 to 4000 ft. 

Visibility..........4 to 6 miles. 

Snow level..........1000 to 1500 ft.



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow 

                    showers through the day. Chance of rain showers 

                    in the afternoon. 

Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 

Max temperature.....Around 35. 

Wind chill..........Around 28. 

Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph. 

CEILING (KFT).......2500 to 4000 ft. 

Visibility..........6 to 10 miles. 

Snow level..........900 to 1200 ft. 



$$

Forecaster...Shriver

Requested by...Tab Burnett

Type of request...SAR

.TAG 2524372.0/AER

.DELDT 10/23/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL tab.burnett@alaska.gov, amy.holman.ak@gmail.com