FLUS44 KTSA 042212

HWOTSA



Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Tulsa OK

512 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026



ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-

073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-052215-

Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-

Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-

Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-

Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-

Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-

Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-

Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-

Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-

Southern Le Flore-

512 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026



This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as

much of Eastern Oklahoma.



.DAY ONE...Tonight.



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

	RISK...Limited.

	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

	ONSET...Mid to Late Evening.



SIGNIFICANT WINDS.

	RISK...Limited.

    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. 

    ONSET...Ongoing.



DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms may develop early this evening along the 

dryline to the west of the area that may then move east into 

eastern Oklahoma during the mid to late evening hours. Additional

thunderstorms will likely develop during the late evening and 

overnight primarily across parts of northeast Oklahoma and 

northwest Arkansas in response to the low level jet. Both the 

dryline storms and low level jet storms will pose a threat for 

severe hail, with locally damaging wind potential primarily with 

dryline storms. 



South winds will continue to gust up to 30 miles an hour at times

this evening.



SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...

Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.



.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.

WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.



EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Scattered storms are expected to redevelop by late Tuesday

afternoon across parts of northwest Arkansas into far southeast 

Oklahoma along an advancing cold front. These storms will carry an

elevated severe threat, with large hail and locally damaging wind

the main hazards. The storms are expected to move quickly east of

the forecast area by early to mid evening. Some storms may 

develop behind the front, possibly as far north as northeast 

Oklahoma, during the day Tuesday, but these storms will carry a 

very limited severe threat.



Storms may develop on the cool side of the front Wednesday across 

far southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. These storms 

may carry a limited large hail risk. After a period of quiet

weather from Wednesday night through Friday, additional 

thunderstorm chances return by the weekend with another 

disturbance moving into the Plains.



weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.



$$