FLUS44 KTSA 041717 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1217 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026 ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071- 073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-051730- Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford- Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford- Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha- Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers- Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage- Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage- Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage- Southern Le Flore- 1217 PM CDT Mon May 4 2026 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Early Evening. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Western Osage and Pawnee counties. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... Isolated thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon along the dryline to the west of the area that could move eastward into eastern Oklahoma during the evening hours. Additional thunderstorms will likely develop during the late evening and overnight primarily across parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas in response to the low level jet. Both the dryline storms and low level jet storms will pose a threat for severe hail, with locally damaging wind potential primarily with dryline storms. South to southwest winds gusting in the 30 to 40 mph range will continue through the afternoon areawide, leading to locally limited fire spread conditions in parts of Osage and Pawnee counties. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential. WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards. SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Scattered storms are expected to redevelop by late Tuesday afternoon from portions of northwest Arkansas into far southeast Oklahoma along an advancing cold front. These storms will carry an elevated severe threat, with large hail and locally damaging wind the main hazards. The storms are expected to move quickly east of the forecast area by early to mid evening. Some storms may develop behind the front, possibly as far north as northeast Oklahoma during the day Tuesday, but these storms will carry a very limited severe threat. Storms may develop on the cool side of the front Wednesday across far southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. These storms would carry a limited large hail risk. After a period of quiet weather from Wednesday night through Friday, additional thunderstorm chances return by next weekend with another disturbance moving into the Plains. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$