FGUS53 KMSR 191122

RVFM10



RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN

622 AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2025



: THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER

: FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS

: WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

:

: FORECAST GROUP IS M10 

:

: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS

:

:************************************************************

:TURKEY RIVER, SPLI4    

:SPILLVILLE, IA - ARX

:

:ACTION STAGE       7.0 FT	MINOR STAGE        9.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE    11.0 FT	MAJOR STAGE       13.0 FT

:

:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 9.8 FT AT 1030 Z ON AUG 19

.ER SPLI4 0819 Z DC202508191122/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 0819 :           /   9.0 /   7.9 /   6.8 

.E2    : 0820 :   /   5.7 /   5.0 /   4.3 /   3.9 

.E3    : 0821 :   /   3.6 /   3.4 /   3.2 /   3.1 

.E4    : 0822 :   /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 

.E5    : 0823 :   /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 

.E6    : 0824 :   /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.7 

.E7    : 0825 :   /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 

.E8    : 0826 :   /   2.7 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 0819 	           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 

:	 0820 	   /  0.00 

:

: 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Aug 20 is 0.01 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:Heavier than forecast precip in the last 6-12 hours is

:driving levels higher. Signficant impacts have already been

:reported by local EM. Forecast will be adjusted as precip

:inputs are adjusted and runoff reposnse is observed.

:************************************************************

:TURKEY RIVER, EKDI4    

:ELKADER 1SE, IA - ARX

:

:ACTION STAGE      10.0 FT	MINOR STAGE       12.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE    16.0 FT	MAJOR STAGE       20.0 FT

:

:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 8.9 FT AT 1045 Z ON AUG 19

:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 08/19/2025

.AR :CREST: EKDI4 0820 Z DC202508191122/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 14.3

:Crest near 14.3 FT around 12 Z on Wed, Aug 20

:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15 Z ON 08/21/2025

.ER EKDI4 0819 Z DC202508191122/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 0819 :           /  10.8 /  12.4 /  13.6 

.E2    : 0820 :   /  14.3 /  14.3 /  13.5 /  13.0 

.E3    : 0821 :   /  12.5 /  11.8 /  10.8 /   9.7 

.E4    : 0822 :   /   8.5 /   7.7 /   7.2 /   6.9 

.E5    : 0823 :   /   6.7 /   6.5 /   6.4 /   6.3 

.E6    : 0824 :   /   6.2 /   6.2 /   6.1 /   6.1 

.E7    : 0825 :   /   6.0 /   6.0 /   6.0 /   6.0 

.E8    : 0826 :   /   6.0 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 0819 	           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 

:	 0820 	   /  0.01 

:

: 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Aug 20 is 0.02 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:

:

:*******************************************************************

:

$$

:

FCSTR EXT: 2528

:

:...END of MESSAGE...