FGUS51 KTAR 202019

RVFBUF

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

0419 PM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Mar-20 0400 PM 

.ER ATTN6 20260320 E DC202603201619/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0320:                  /   5.8 /   5.8 

.E2  :0321:  /   4.9 /   4.5 /   4.3 /   4.2 

.E3  :0322:  /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.9 /   4.9 

.E4  :0323:  /   4.6 /   4.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:  0.47/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.32/ 0.20/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY 

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Mar-20 0315 PM 

.ER GOWN6 20260320 E DC202603201619/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0320:                  /   5.1 /   7.6 

.E2  :0321:  /   6.7 /   5.5 /   5.2 /   5.2 

.E3  :0322:  /   4.8 /   4.2 /   4.7 /   5.0 

.E4  :0323:  /   5.0 /   4.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:  0.49/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.25/ 0.21/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY 

:Flood stage 7.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Mar-20 0315 PM 

.ER GDVN6 20260320 E DC202603201619/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0320:                  /   3.2 /   4.1 

.E2  :0321:  /   3.6 /   3.3 /   3.0 /   2.7 

.E3  :0322:  /   2.5 /   2.4 /   3.2 /   3.3 

.E4  :0323:  /   3.2 /   2.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:  0.51/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.34/ 0.19/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.8 FT at Mar-20 0330 PM 

:Crest near 6.8 FT around 2AM EDT ON 03/21/2026

.ER LCSN6 20260320 E DC202603201619/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0320:                  /   5.5 /   6.8 

.E2  :0321:  /   5.6 /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.0 

.E3  :0322:  /   4.8 /   4.8 /   5.3 /   5.5 

.E4  :0323:  /   5.3 /   5.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:  0.44/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.37/ 0.20/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY 

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Mar-20 0400 PM 

:Crest near 8.6 FT around 8PM EDT ON 03/20/2026

.ER EBZN6 20260320 E DC202603201619/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0320:                  /   8.6 /   6.4 

.E2  :0321:  /   5.9 /   5.6 /   5.2 /   4.8 

.E3  :0322:  /   4.5 /   4.8 /   5.2 /   5.3 

.E4  :0323:  /   5.1 /   5.0 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:  0.52/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.35/ 0.20/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Mar-20 0315 PM 

.ER WILN6 20260320 E DC202603201619/DH20/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0320:                  /   5.5 /   4.6 

.E2  :0321:  /   4.4 /   4.8 /   4.6 /   4.3 

.E3  :0322:  /   4.0 /   4.3 /   4.4 /   4.2 

.E4  :0323:  /   4.2 /   4.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:  0.37/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.38/ 0.20/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

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