FGUS51 KTAR 200136

RVFBGM

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

0935 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Seneca Lake - Geneva, NY 

:Flood stage 448.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 445.6 FT at Aug-19 0900 PM 

.ER GNVN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          / 445.6 

.E2  :0820:  / 445.6 / 445.6 / 445.6 / 445.6 

.E3  :0821:  / 445.6 / 445.6 / 445.6 / 445.6 

.E4  :0822:  / 445.6 / 445.6 / 445.6 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.05/ 0.50/ 0.45/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Fall Creek - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 0.4 FT at Aug-19 0845 PM 

.ER FLLN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          /   0.4 

.E2  :0820:  /   0.4 /   0.9 /   1.3 /   1.4 

.E3  :0821:  /   1.2 /   1.1 /   1.0 /   0.9 

.E4  :0822:  /   0.8 /   0.7 /   0.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.45/ 0.76/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Lake Inlet - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 383.5 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 382.3 FT at Aug-19 0900 PM 

.ER ICYN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          / 382.3 

.E2  :0820:  / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.3 

.E3  :0821:  / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.3 

.E4  :0822:  / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake - Owasco Lake, NY 

:Flood stage 715.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 712.0 FT at Aug-19 0830 PM 

.ER OWSN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          / 712.0 

.E2  :0820:  / 712.0 / 712.1 / 712.1 / 712.1 

.E3  :0821:  / 712.1 / 712.1 / 712.1 / 712.1 

.E4  :0822:  / 712.1 / 712.1 / 712.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.60/ 0.83/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake Outlet - Auburn, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 0.7 FT at Aug-19 0900 PM 

.ER AUON6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          /   0.7 

.E2  :0820:  /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 

.E3  :0821:  /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 

.E4  :0822:  /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:RIVER IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Creek - Syracuse-Dorwin Ave, NY 

:Flood stage 5.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Aug-19 0830 PM 

.ER ONDN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          /   1.6 

.E2  :0820:  /   2.0 /   2.7 /   2.9 /   2.5 

.E3  :0821:  /   2.1 /   2.0 /   1.9 /   1.9 

.E4  :0822:  /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.67/ 0.90/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Oneida Creek - Oneida, NY 

:Flood stage 11.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Aug-19 0915 PM 

.ER NEIN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          /   2.3 

.E2  :0820:  /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.5 /   3.1 

.E3  :0821:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.2 

.E4  :0822:  /   3.1 /   2.9 /   2.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.01/ 0.43/ 0.97/ 0.21/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Lake - Liverpool, NY 

:Flood stage 366.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 363.2 FT at Aug-19 0830 PM 

.ER LVRN6 20250820 E DC202508192135/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:                          / 363.2 

.E2  :0820:  / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.3 / 363.4 

.E3  :0821:  / 363.4 / 363.4 / 363.4 / 363.4 

.E4  :0822:  / 363.3 / 363.3 / 363.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.80/ 0.90/ 0.14/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:Forecast not based on gage reading due to gage malfunction

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...