FGUS51 KTAR 191444

RVFBGM

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

1044 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Seneca Lake - Geneva, NY 

:Flood stage 448.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 445.7 FT at Aug-19 1000 AM 

.ER GNVN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          / 445.5 / 445.5 / 445.5 

.E2  :0820:  / 445.5 / 445.5 / 445.5 / 445.5 

.E3  :0821:  / 445.5 / 445.5 / 445.5 / 445.5 

.E4  :0822:  / 445.5 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.85/ 0.54/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Fall Creek - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 0.4 FT at Aug-19 0945 AM 

.ER FLLN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          /   0.4 /   0.4 /   0.4 

.E2  :0820:  /   0.5 /   0.9 /   1.4 /   1.4 

.E3  :0821:  /   1.3 /   1.1 /   1.0 /   0.9 

.E4  :0822:  /   0.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.46/ 0.80/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Lake Inlet - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 383.5 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 382.3 FT at Aug-19 1000 AM 

.ER ICYN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.3 

.E2  :0820:  / 382.3 / 382.3 / 382.4 / 382.4 

.E3  :0821:  / 382.4 / 382.4 / 382.4 / 382.4 

.E4  :0822:  / 382.4 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake - Owasco Lake, NY 

:Flood stage 715.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 712.0 FT at Aug-19 0930 AM 

.ER OWSN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          / 712.0 / 712.0 / 712.0 

.E2  :0820:  / 712.1 / 712.1 / 712.1 / 712.2 

.E3  :0821:  / 712.2 / 712.2 / 712.2 / 712.2 

.E4  :0822:  / 712.2 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.92/ 0.70/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake Outlet - Auburn, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 0.7 FT at Aug-19 1000 AM 

.ER AUON6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 

.E2  :0820:  /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 

.E3  :0821:  /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 

.E4  :0822:  /   0.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:RIVER IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Creek - Syracuse-Dorwin Ave, NY 

:Flood stage 5.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Aug-19 1030 AM 

.ER ONDN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 

.E2  :0820:  /   2.0 /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.4 

.E3  :0821:  /   2.0 /   1.9 /   1.8 /   1.8 

.E4  :0822:  /   1.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.79/ 0.82/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Oneida Creek - Oneida, NY 

:Flood stage 11.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Aug-19 1015 AM 

.ER NEIN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.3 

.E2  :0820:  /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.5 

.E3  :0821:  /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.5 

.E4  :0822:  /   2.4 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.40/ 0.49/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Lake - Liverpool, NY 

:Flood stage 366.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 363.2 FT at Aug-19 1030 AM 

.ER LVRN6 20250819 E DC202508191044/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0819:          / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 

.E2  :0820:  / 363.3 / 363.3 / 363.4 / 363.4 

.E3  :0821:  / 363.5 / 363.5 / 363.6 / 363.6 

.E4  :0822:  / 363.6 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.68/ 0.53/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:Forecast not based on gage reading due to gage malfunction

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...