FGUS51 KTAR 051523

RVFBGM

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

1123 AM EDT Tue May 05 2026

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Seneca Lake - Geneva, NY 

:Flood stage 448.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 447.7 FT at May-05 1100 AM 

.ER GNVN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          / 447.6 / 447.6 / 447.6 

.E2  :0506:  / 447.6 / 447.6 / 447.6 / 447.7 

.E3  :0507:  / 447.7 / 447.7 / 447.7 / 447.7 

.E4  :0508:  / 447.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.03/ 0.33/ 0.21/ 0.33/ 0.33/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Fall Creek - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at May-05 1045 AM 

.ER FLLN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          /   1.5 /   1.5 /   1.7 

.E2  :0506:  /   2.0 /   2.4 /   2.8 /   2.9 

.E3  :0507:  /   2.8 /   2.6 /   2.4 /   2.3 

.E4  :0508:  /   2.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.29/ 0.18/ 0.24/ 0.41/ 0.16/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Lake Inlet - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 383.5 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 382.9 FT at May-05 1100 AM 

.ER ICYN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          / 382.9 / 382.9 / 382.9 

.E2  :0506:  / 382.9 / 382.9 / 383.0 / 383.0 

.E3  :0507:  / 383.1 / 383.1 / 383.1 / 383.1 

.E4  :0508:  / 383.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake - Owasco Lake, NY 

:Flood stage 715.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 712.6 FT at May-05 1045 AM 

.ER OWSN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          / 712.6 / 712.6 / 712.6 

.E2  :0506:  / 712.6 / 712.7 / 712.8 / 712.8 

.E3  :0507:  / 712.9 / 713.0 / 713.0 / 713.1 

.E4  :0508:  / 713.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.02/ 0.39/ 0.20/ 0.27/ 0.38/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake Outlet - Auburn, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at May-05 1100 AM 

.ER AUON6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 

.E2  :0506:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 

.E3  :0507:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 

.E4  :0508:  /   3.5 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:RIVER IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Creek - Syracuse-Dorwin Ave, NY 

:Flood stage 5.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at May-05 1030 AM 

.ER ONDN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          /   2.3 /   2.6 /   2.9 

.E2  :0506:  /   3.2 /   3.6 /   3.8 /   3.8 

.E3  :0507:  /   3.7 /   3.5 /   3.3 /   3.2 

.E4  :0508:  /   3.0 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.03/ 0.40/ 0.22/ 0.27/ 0.40/ 0.16/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Oneida Creek - Oneida, NY 

:Flood stage 11.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at May-05 1015 AM 

.ER NEIN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          /   2.5 /   2.8 /   3.1 

.E2  :0506:  /   3.5 /   3.9 /   4.2 /   4.2 

.E3  :0507:  /   4.0 /   3.8 /   3.6 /   3.5 

.E4  :0508:  /   3.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.03/ 0.42/ 0.19/ 0.23/ 0.45/ 0.20/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Lake - Liverpool, NY 

:Flood stage 366.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 364.9 FT at May-05 1030 AM 

.ER LVRN6 20260505 E DC202605051123/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0505:          / 364.8 / 364.8 / 364.7 

.E2  :0506:  / 364.7 / 364.8 / 364.9 / 365.0 

.E3  :0507:  / 365.0 / 365.1 / 365.1 / 365.1 

.E4  :0508:  / 365.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.06/ 0.37/ 0.23/ 0.26/ 0.36/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...