FGUS51 KTAR 021643

RVFBGM

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

1143 AM EST Mon Feb 02 2026

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Seneca Lake - Geneva, NY 

:Flood stage 448.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 444.9 FT at Feb-02 1100 AM 

.ER GNVN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          / 444.9 / 444.9 / 444.9 

.E2  :0203:  / 444.8 / 444.8 / 444.8 / 444.8 

.E3  :0204:  / 444.8 / 444.8 / 444.8 / 444.8 

.E4  :0205:  / 444.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Fall Creek - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Feb-02 1045 AM 

.ER FLLN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          /   1.0 /   1.0 /   1.0 

.E2  :0203:  /   1.0 /   1.0 /   1.0 /   1.0 

.E3  :0204:  /   1.0 /   1.0 /   0.9 /   0.9 

.E4  :0205:  /   0.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 

:Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents

:Natural Flow.

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Lake Inlet - Ithaca, NY 

:Flood stage 383.5 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 379.0 FT at Feb-02 1100 AM 

.ER ICYN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          / 378.9 / 378.9 / 378.9 

.E2  :0203:  / 378.9 / 378.9 / 378.9 / 378.9 

.E3  :0204:  / 378.9 / 378.9 / 378.9 / 378.9 

.E4  :0205:  / 378.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake - Owasco Lake, NY 

:Flood stage 715.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 710.4 FT at Feb-02 1045 AM 

.ER OWSN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          / 710.4 / 710.4 / 710.4 

.E2  :0203:  / 710.3 / 710.3 / 710.3 / 710.3 

.E3  :0204:  / 710.3 / 710.3 / 710.3 / 710.3 

.E4  :0205:  / 710.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Owasco Lake Outlet - Auburn, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Jan-29 1045 AM 

.ER AUON6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 

.E2  :0203:  /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 

.E3  :0204:  /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 

.E4  :0205:  /   2.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:RIVER IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Creek - Syracuse-Dorwin Ave, NY 

:Flood stage 5.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Feb-02 1030 AM 

.ER ONDN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 

.E2  :0203:  /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 

.E3  :0204:  /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 

.E4  :0205:  /   1.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 

:Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents

:Natural Flow.

:************************************************************

:Oneida Creek - Oneida, NY 

:Flood stage 11.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Feb-02 1115 AM 

.ER NEIN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 

.E2  :0203:  /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 

.E3  :0204:  /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 

.E4  :0205:  /   2.6 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 

:Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents

:Natural Flow.

:************************************************************

:Onondaga Lake - Liverpool, NY 

:Flood stage 366.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 363.7 FT at Feb-02 1030 AM 

.ER LVRN6 20260202 E DC202602021143/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1  :0202:          / 363.7 / 363.7 / 363.7 

.E2  :0203:  / 363.7 / 363.7 / 363.6 / 363.6 

.E3  :0204:  / 363.6 / 363.6 / 363.6 / 363.6 

.E4  :0205:  / 363.6 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...