ACUS48 KWNS 030940

SWOD48

SPC AC 030939



Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0339 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026



Valid 061200Z - 111200Z



...DISCUSSION...

On the backside of a broad large-scale trough over the East, dry,

offshore flow will persist across much of the CONUS through at least

Days 5-6/Saturday-Sunday. As a result, thunderstorm potential will

be low during this time frame. Thereafter, medium-range guidance

depicts a low-latitude midlevel trough/low moving eastward across

the Southwest/northern Mexico and eventually into the southern

Plains by Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday. However, current indications are

that surface high pressure encompassing the eastern half of the

CONUS will limit boundary-layer moisture return and overall severe

potential.



..Weinman.. 02/03/2026