ACUS11 KWNS 250011

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 250011 

TXZ000-250145-



Mesoscale Discussion 2173

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0711 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Areas affected...DFW Vicinity



Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629...



Valid 250011Z - 250145Z



The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629

continues.



SUMMARY...A linear segment of storms will pose some risk for

damaging/severe winds as well as a brief QLCS tornado or two into

mid evening.



DISCUSSION...A linear segment is moving into parts of North Texas

this evening. This feature produced a 51 kt wind gust in Brownwood.

Though temperatures south of the differential heating boundary have

cooled a degree or two over the last hour, low 80s F inflow remains.

Given the more unstable inflow than storm to the north and modest

increase in 850 mb winds, it is likely this activity continues over

the next couple of hours and approaches the DFW metro. The KFWS VAD

continues to show enlarged low-level hodographs as well as an

improving mid-level wind profile. Damaging/severe gusts as well as

QLCS circulations/tornadoes will be possible into mid evening.



..Wendt.. 10/25/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...FWD...



LAT...LON   31649865 32429880 33019807 33059791 33029750 32819704

            32549697 32069762 31649865 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN