ACUS11 KWNS 191816

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 191815 

OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-191945-



Mesoscale Discussion 1992

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0115 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025



Areas affected...central Indiana into western and northern Ohio



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 191815Z - 191945Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent



SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon

from central Indiana to northern Ohio.



DISCUSSION...Rapid destabilization has occurred ahead of the front

from central Indiana to northern Ohio. However, very weak mid-level

lapse rates will likely limit the overall convective intensity. Some

stronger mid-level flow (~30-40 knots) is being sampled by the KCLE

VWP. However, flow is weaker across Indiana which will be more

representative of the shear along the front this afternoon. 



A few stronger storms may result in damaging wind gusts, but

overall, expect the threat to remain mostly marginal/isolated.



..Bentley/Gleason.. 08/19/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...



LAT...LON   39568748 39958663 40288589 40658499 41008419 41408328

            41508269 41578226 41528181 40928168 40238243 39808293

            39368362 39108440 38928542 38628654 38718705 38958734

            39568748 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH