ACUS11 KWNS 062048

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 062048 

GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-062215-



Mesoscale Discussion 0428

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0348 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025



Areas affected...parts of southern AL...southwest/central GA...into

the western FL Panhandle



Concerning...Tornado Watch 132...



Valid 062048Z - 062215Z



The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 132 continues.



SUMMARY...Several bands of strong to severe storms will remain

capable of damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes. Some local

extensions of WW132 may be needed, but the downstream threat appears

more limited.



DISCUSSION...As of 2040 UTC, regional radar observations indicate a

band of convection across southeastern AL and west-central GA

continues to show embedded supercell and bowing structures capable

of damaging gusts and tornadoes. This should continue for a couple

more hours as storms approach the eastern edge of the Tornado Watch

132. Areal extensions of a few counties may be needed as storms

begin to outrun the watch. As storms continue farther east, a

gradual decrease in buoyancy should favor weakening into the evening

hours. Until then, damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes remain

possible.



To the southwest, a second smaller band of convection across

southern AL will likely maintain intensity for a few more hours this

afternoon. A few more isolated cells have also developed farther

east within the warm sector across southwest GA and the northern FL

Panhandle. 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 40+ kt of effective shear

could support a continued severe threat into this evening. This

matches with some hi-res guidance that shows a gradual expansion of

strong storms into southwest GA and possibly northern FL. However,

forcing for ascent is some what nebulous and storm coverage has

remained more isolated thus far. With storms approaching the

southeast corner of WW132 in the next few hours, some consideration

may be given to a small downstream watch. However the extent of the

severe risk and need for any new watches is currently unclear.



..Lyons.. 04/06/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...



LAT...LON   30688841 31368762 32068571 32998474 33518424 33638347

            33448296 33028316 31788394 30788483 30508589 30478720

            30438831 30688841 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH